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Solar PV driving massive global growth of renewables to 2030 – IEA report

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  • IEA has released Renewables 2024, the latest edition of our flagship annual publication on the renewable energy sector.
  • It features the latest forecasts and analysis, based on recent policies and market developments, while also exploring key challenges and barriers to faster growth.

This year’s edition finds that due to supportive policies and favourable economics, the world’s renewable power capacity is expected to surge over the rest of this decade, with global additions on course to roughly equal the current total power capacity of China, the European Union, India and the United States combined.

Here are some of the key findings:
  • The world is set to add more than 5 500 gigawatts (GW) of new renewable energy capacity between 2024 and 2030 – almost three times the increase seen between 2017 and 2023. That includes 670 GW this year alone.
  • Based on these trends, renewables are on course to generate close to half of global electricity by 2030. Solar PV and wind alone are set to double their share of the global electricity mix to 30% by the end of the decade.
  • China is on course to account for almost 60% of all renewable capacity installed worldwide between now and 2030, based on current market trends and today’s policy settings by governments. That would make it home to almost half of the world’s total renewable power capacity by the end of this decade, up from a share of one third in 2010. While China is adding the biggest volumes of renewables, India is growing at the fastest rate among major economies.
  • In terms of technologies, solar PV is forecast to account for 80% of the growth in global renewable capacity between now and 2030 – the result of the construction of new large solar power plants as well as an increase in rooftop solar installations by companies and households.
  • Despite ongoing challenges, the wind sector is also poised for a recovery, with the rate of expansion doubling between 2024 and 2030, compared with the period between 2017 and 2023.
  • Already, solar PV and wind are the cheapest options to add new electricity generation in almost every country.
  • Renewables are being deployed so fast, they are outpacing governments’ own existing targets. Nearly 70 countries that collectively account for 80% of global renewable power capacity are poised to reach or surpass their current renewable ambitions for 2030.
  • The current projected growth is not fully in line with reaching the goal set by nearly 200 governments at the COP28 climate change conference to triple the world’s renewable capacity this decade – the report forecasts global capacity will reach 2.7 times its 2022 level by 2030. But IEA analysis, as reflected in the report’s ‘accelerated case’ forecast, indicates that fully meeting the tripling target is entirely possible if governments take near-term opportunities for action.
Explore the full report HERE

Author: bryan Groenendaa

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Green Building Africa promotes the need for net carbon zero buildings and cities in Africa. We are fiercely independent and encourage outlying thinkers to contribute to the #netcarbonzero movement. Climate change is upon us and now is the time to react in a more diverse and broader approach to sustainability in the built environment. We challenge architects, property developers, urban planners, renewable energy professionals and green building specialists. We also challenge the funding houses and regulators and the role they play in facilitating investment into green projects. Lastly, we explore and investigate new technology and real-time data to speed up the journey in realising a net carbon zero environment for our children.

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